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Red209
315168.9
1111105.3
10390.7
Blue325
171288.3
1676112.8
540490.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743120200400600800209325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
Unranked
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto11.7
Teleop53.8
End39.8
blue by 7.5
1676
Unranked
112.80.0
112.8112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop51.8
End46.4
Second
103
Unranked
90.70.0
90.790.7
Auto14.4
Teleop47.0
End29.3
red by 0.5
5404
Unranked
90.20.0
90.290.2
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End39.3
Third
3151
Unranked
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto8.4
Teleop35.7
End24.8
blue by 19.4
1712
Unranked
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.5
Teleop40.8
End37.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
24%Rotor odds29%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds