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Red305
149565.6
3929105.2
83491.9
Blue235
114377.4
171298.0
272976.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261274100200300400500305235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.21.2
100.7101.9
Auto12.4
Teleop49.6
End43.2
red by 7.3
1712
#11
98.00.5
100.199.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.0
End47.2
Second
834
#6
91.91.2
87.388.6
Auto12.2
Teleop40.5
End39.2
red by 14.5
1143
#13
77.40.5
79.579.0
Auto10.1
Teleop44.6
End22.7
Third
1495
#21
65.61.2
61.162.3
Auto4.4
Teleop22.5
End38.7
blue by 10.7
2729
#19
76.30.5
78.477.9
Auto6.0
Teleop29.3
End40.9