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Red280
198979.2
164076.6
3929105.2
Blue275
593866.8
171298.0
272976.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2431640100200300400280275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.22.3
83.686.0
Auto12.4
Teleop49.6
End43.2
red by 7.3
1712
#11
98.012.0
68.680.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.0
End47.2
Second
79.23.9
70.674.5
Auto10.4
Teleop33.5
End35.3
red by 2.9
2729
#19
76.312.0
59.471.4
Auto6.0
Teleop29.3
End40.9
Third
1640
#18
76.63.9
65.869.6
Auto4.8
Teleop39.4
End32.4
red by 9.8
5938
#24
66.812.0
39.251.2
Auto6.5
Teleop29.2
End31.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed