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Red171
316755.0
137061.2
149565.6
Blue145
139178.3
116827.4
622643.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521660100200300400171145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1495
#21
65.60.1
49.349.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.5
End38.7
blue by 12.7
1391
#23
78.31.2
62.461.1
Auto10.1
Teleop33.2
End35.1
Second
1370
#16
61.20.1
50.350.2
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End34.4
red by 17.7
6226
#27
43.51.2
48.347.1
Auto6.8
Teleop28.4
End8.2
Third
3167
#14
55.00.1
47.147.1
Auto9.7
Teleop26.1
End19.2
red by 27.6
1168
#31
27.41.2
45.344.1
Auto1.8
Teleop24.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed