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Red215
198979.2
27274.8
475090.2
Blue200
31681.0
164076.6
149565.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24517650100150200300350400450215200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4750
#12
90.24.2
93.989.7
Auto7.2
Teleop38.3
End44.7
red by 9.2
316
#10
81.02.0
58.660.6
Auto9.9
Teleop31.9
End39.2
Second
79.24.2
73.168.9
Auto10.4
Teleop33.5
End35.3
red by 2.6
1640
#18
76.62.0
69.471.4
Auto4.8
Teleop39.4
End32.4
Third
272
#5
74.84.2
56.151.9
Auto6.7
Teleop32.1
End36.0
red by 9.2
1495
#21
65.62.0
49.251.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.5
End38.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed