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Red195
593866.8
622643.5
3929105.2
Blue205
666743.3
114377.4
179133.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2231450100300400500195205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.21.1
84.683.5
Auto12.4
Teleop49.6
End43.2
red by 27.8
1143
#13
77.43.8
72.476.2
Auto10.1
Teleop44.6
End22.7
Second
5938
#24
66.81.6
67.365.7
Auto6.5
Teleop29.2
End31.1
red by 23.5
6667
#17
43.33.8
40.644.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End13.8
Third
6226
#27
43.51.6
49.648.0
Auto6.8
Teleop28.4
End8.2
red by 10.1
1791
#22
33.43.8
35.739.5
Auto6.6
Teleop24.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed