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Red231
475090.2
20432.8
114377.4
Blue315
3929105.2
171298.0
463781.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209266100300400500231315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4750
#12
90.22.1
95.097.1
Auto7.2
Teleop38.3
End44.7
blue by 15.0
105.22.7
83.586.2
Auto12.4
Teleop49.6
End43.2
Second
1143
#13
77.41.6
76.277.8
Auto10.1
Teleop44.6
End22.7
blue by 20.6
1712
#11
98.03.5
94.197.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.0
End47.2
Third
204
#30
32.82.1
35.837.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.6
End4.0
blue by 49.0
81.93.5
67.571.0
Auto11.2
Teleop26.6
End44.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed