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Red265
622643.5
434296.0
365112.3
Blue225
475090.2
27274.8
540765.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672460100200300400500600265225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
112.30.3
111.7112.1
Auto18.3
Teleop50.4
End43.6
red by 22.1
4750
#12
90.20.3
92.292.0
Auto7.2
Teleop38.3
End44.7
Second
96.00.3
95.495.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.6
End56.3
red by 21.2
272
#5
74.80.3
76.876.6
Auto6.7
Teleop32.1
End36.0
Third
6226
#27
43.50.3
42.943.2
Auto6.8
Teleop28.4
End8.2
blue by 21.9
5407
#28
65.40.3
67.467.2
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End14.0