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Red452
131885.4
3238128.7
3663130.6
Blue471
2471112.7
2046126.4
1595105.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4453500100200300400500600700452471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.60.1
130.6130.6
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
red by 4.3
126.40.6
125.7126.4
Auto17.1
Teleop54.3
End54.9
Second
128.70.1
128.6128.7
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
red by 16.0
112.70.6
112.1112.7
Auto12.9
Teleop58.9
End41.0
Third
1318
#60
85.40.1
85.385.4
Auto11.6
Teleop42.9
End30.9
blue by 19.9
1595
#37
105.30.6
104.7105.3
Auto13.5
Teleop44.2
End47.6