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Red475
131885.4
3238128.7
3663130.6
Blue342
4061110.6
2907110.3
488100.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446324100200400500600700475342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.60.6
129.8130.4
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
red by 20.1
4061
#50
110.60.1
110.7110.6
Auto13.1
Teleop42.8
End54.8
Second
128.70.6
127.9128.5
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
red by 18.4
2907
#11
110.30.1
110.4110.3
Auto12.9
Teleop42.7
End54.7
Third
1318
#60
85.40.6
84.585.2
Auto11.6
Teleop42.9
End30.9
blue by 15.5
488
#13
100.90.1
101.0100.9
Auto15.5
Teleop44.6
End40.9