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Red311
3674110.4
2910105.5
4488116.8
Blue294
466293.8
1778118.7
5803100.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392341100200300500600700311294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.80.7
120.1119.5
Auto17.3
Teleop50.0
End49.5
blue by 1.9
118.70.5
119.4118.9
Auto12.1
Teleop51.9
End54.7
Second
3674
#12
110.40.7
113.8113.1
Auto13.2
Teleop52.3
End44.9
red by 10.5
5803
#24
100.00.5
100.7100.2
Auto12.2
Teleop46.6
End41.2
Third
105.50.7
106.9106.2
Auto13.6
Teleop53.9
End38.0
red by 11.7
4662
#26
93.80.5
94.594.1
Auto10.3
Teleop39.0
End44.5