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Red345
3238128.7
95587.1
1778118.7
Blue305
3663130.6
545098.2
131885.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233440100200400500600700800345305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.72.3
122.2124.6
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
blue by 1.9
130.61.3
116.7115.4
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
Second
118.72.3
109.1111.4
Auto12.1
Teleop51.9
End54.7
red by 20.5
5450
#53
98.21.3
99.297.9
Auto12.1
Teleop43.2
End42.9
Third
955
#39
87.12.3
78.680.9
Auto8.0
Teleop33.9
End45.2
red by 1.7
1318
#60
85.41.3
108.2106.9
Auto11.6
Teleop42.9
End30.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed