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Red208
2471112.7
1595105.3
371187.6
Blue332
491888.4
4911101.5
3663130.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353322150200250300400450500208332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.78.2
117.9109.7
Auto12.9
Teleop58.9
End41.0
blue by 17.9
130.61.1
128.0129.1
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
Second
1595
#37
105.38.2
116.3108.1
Auto13.5
Teleop44.2
End47.6
red by 3.8
4911
#45
101.51.1
98.499.6
Auto13.8
Teleop50.0
End37.7
Third
3711
#58
87.68.2
97.088.7
Auto12.5
Teleop40.7
End34.3
blue by 0.8
4918
#51
88.41.1
83.884.9
Auto13.0
Teleop39.1
End36.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed