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Red305
4061110.6
519873.0
307089.8
Blue352
529595.1
2907110.3
3238128.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593630100200300400500600305352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#50
110.63.0
99.9102.9
Auto13.1
Teleop42.8
End54.8
blue by 18.1
128.71.1
124.6125.6
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
Second
3070
#33
89.83.0
89.192.1
Auto12.2
Teleop46.1
End31.5
blue by 20.5
2907
#11
110.31.1
110.7111.8
Auto12.9
Teleop42.7
End54.7
Third
5198
#59
73.03.0
70.973.9
Auto8.4
Teleop33.7
End30.9
blue by 22.1
95.11.1
95.896.8
Auto7.5
Teleop48.5
End39.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed