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Red307
302497.5
75383.7
4125100.6
Blue208
492106.1
339378.1
4488116.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297290200250350400307208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#19
100.61.4
92.694.0
Auto11.5
Teleop46.6
End42.5
blue by 16.3
116.84.9
108.4103.5
Auto17.3
Teleop50.0
End49.5
Second
3024
#22
97.51.4
100.8102.2
Auto8.2
Teleop49.6
End39.8
blue by 8.5
492
#20
106.14.9
107.3102.4
Auto13.6
Teleop53.3
End39.1
Third
753
#30
83.71.4
82.984.2
Auto6.6
Teleop32.8
End44.3
red by 5.6
3393
#56
78.14.9
66.261.3
Auto4.3
Teleop34.3
End39.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed