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Red325
413188.6
449587.5
2046126.4
Blue306
582793.1
307089.8
3663130.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883080100200400500600325306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.41.6
119.0120.6
Auto17.1
Teleop54.3
End54.9
blue by 4.3
130.61.1
118.6119.7
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
Second
4131
#46
88.61.6
79.681.2
Auto11.8
Teleop40.0
End36.8
blue by 4.5
5827
#40
93.11.1
83.384.4
Auto9.2
Teleop41.9
End42.1
Third
4495
#49
87.51.6
77.679.2
Auto8.1
Teleop45.7
End33.7
blue by 2.3
3070
#33
89.81.1
88.289.3
Auto12.2
Teleop46.1
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed