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Red185
597579.7
131885.4
281188.8
Blue262
371187.6
237495.4
255778.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281286200220240260300320340185262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#34
88.85.5
89.884.3
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End38.0
blue by 6.6
2374
#15
95.40.9
88.287.3
Auto8.1
Teleop58.7
End28.6
Second
1318
#60
85.45.5
95.590.0
Auto11.6
Teleop42.9
End30.9
blue by 2.2
3711
#58
87.60.9
100.399.3
Auto12.5
Teleop40.7
End34.3
Third
5975
#61
79.75.5
82.276.7
Auto9.5
Teleop44.2
End26.0
red by 1.0
2557
#43
78.70.9
82.681.6
Auto8.1
Teleop41.1
End29.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed