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Red372
142598.5
466293.8
1778118.7
Blue140
634383.3
491888.4
5803100.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317312150200250300350372140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.73.3
115.2118.5
Auto12.1
Teleop51.9
End54.7
red by 18.7
5803
#24
100.011.0
108.097.0
Auto12.2
Teleop46.6
End41.2
Second
1425
#27
98.53.3
100.4103.7
Auto9.6
Teleop44.7
End44.2
red by 10.1
4918
#51
88.411.0
94.683.6
Auto13.0
Teleop39.1
End36.3
Third
4662
#26
93.83.3
82.285.5
Auto10.3
Teleop39.0
End44.5
red by 10.5
6343
#32
83.311.0
97.386.3
Auto8.4
Teleop43.3
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsEarned3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed