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Red327
3663130.6
997107.6
237495.4
Blue305
4125100.6
635075.4
321986.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326264100200300400500600327305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.61.7
119.7121.4
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
red by 30.1
4125
#19
100.63.1
95.098.1
Auto11.5
Teleop46.6
End42.5
Second
997
#6
107.61.7
94.796.4
Auto10.5
Teleop51.9
End45.1
red by 21.2
3219
#57
86.43.1
82.785.7
Auto10.7
Teleop36.8
End38.9
Third
2374
#15
95.41.7
87.388.9
Auto8.1
Teleop58.7
End28.6
red by 20.0
6350
#63
75.43.1
81.284.3
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End36.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed