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Red255
321986.4
95793.1
417355.1
Blue260
592082.4
413188.6
491888.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256254150200300255260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#28
93.11.2
87.889.0
Auto9.7
Teleop39.3
End44.1
red by 4.5
4131
#46
88.60.8
83.584.3
Auto11.8
Teleop40.0
End36.8
Second
3219
#57
86.41.2
85.787.0
Auto10.7
Teleop36.8
End38.9
blue by 2.0
4918
#51
88.40.8
83.684.4
Auto13.0
Teleop39.1
End36.3
Third
4173
#64
55.11.2
62.964.1
Auto2.8
Teleop29.0
End23.2
blue by 27.3
5920
#48
82.40.8
80.981.7
Auto12.8
Teleop42.2
End27.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed