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Red237
75383.7
281188.8
3238128.7
Blue232
5803100.0
635075.4
2046126.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335310100150200250400450500237232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.75.2
130.7125.4
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
red by 2.3
126.44.4
120.0115.6
Auto17.1
Teleop54.3
End54.9
Second
2811
#34
88.85.2
90.385.0
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End38.0
blue by 11.2
5803
#24
100.04.4
93.288.8
Auto12.2
Teleop46.6
End41.2
Third
753
#30
83.75.2
94.389.1
Auto6.6
Teleop32.8
End44.3
red by 8.3
6350
#63
75.44.4
84.780.3
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End36.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed