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Red210
307089.8
129480.8
293081.7
Blue230
255091.7
445086.2
131885.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263299100200400210230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#33
89.83.3
90.887.4
Auto12.2
Teleop46.1
End31.5
blue by 1.9
2550
#31
91.75.0
110.4105.4
Auto9.5
Teleop48.0
End34.3
Second
2930
#54
81.73.3
75.972.5
Auto12.4
Teleop49.7
End19.6
blue by 4.5
4450
#42
86.25.0
84.179.1
Auto10.9
Teleop36.6
End38.7
Third
1294
#55
80.83.3
88.485.1
Auto8.6
Teleop45.8
End26.3
blue by 4.6
1318
#60
85.45.0
85.280.2
Auto11.6
Teleop42.9
End30.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed