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Red310
369383.2
519873.0
4488116.8
Blue209
413188.6
546884.1
339378.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251254180200220240280300320310209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.84.5
102.8107.3
Auto17.3
Teleop50.0
End49.5
red by 28.2
4131
#46
88.61.9
85.483.5
Auto11.8
Teleop40.0
End36.8
Second
3693
#47
83.24.5
70.274.7
Auto8.7
Teleop43.3
End31.1
blue by 0.9
5468
#35
84.11.9
82.480.4
Auto7.9
Teleop42.5
End33.8
Third
5198
#59
73.04.5
69.073.5
Auto8.4
Teleop33.7
End30.9
blue by 5.1
3393
#56
78.11.9
70.168.1
Auto4.3
Teleop34.3
End39.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed