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Red230
293081.7
255091.7
255778.7
Blue328
3663130.6
3238128.7
451387.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2533710100200300400500600230328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2550
#31
91.73.4
103.4100.0
Auto9.5
Teleop48.0
End34.3
blue by 38.9
130.60.6
128.2127.6
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
Second
2930
#54
81.73.4
72.569.1
Auto12.4
Teleop49.7
End19.6
blue by 47.0
128.70.6
123.8123.2
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
Third
2557
#43
78.73.4
80.577.1
Auto8.1
Teleop41.1
End29.5
blue by 8.4
4513
#14
87.10.6
85.384.7
Auto8.5
Teleop42.1
End36.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed33%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed