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Red259
1595105.3
2046126.4
2471112.7
Blue295
466293.8
1778118.7
5803100.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368350150200250300400450500550259295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.41.9
126.6124.7
Auto17.1
Teleop54.3
End54.9
red by 7.7
118.70.5
120.8120.3
Auto12.1
Teleop51.9
End54.7
Second
112.71.9
113.0111.0
Auto12.9
Teleop58.9
End41.0
red by 12.8
5803
#24
100.00.5
102.1101.6
Auto12.2
Teleop46.6
End41.2
Third
1595
#37
105.31.9
105.5103.6
Auto13.5
Teleop44.2
End47.6
red by 11.5
4662
#26
93.80.5
95.995.4
Auto10.3
Teleop39.0
End44.5