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Red475
1595105.3
2046126.4
2471112.7
Blue293
466293.8
1778118.7
5803100.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362345200300400500475293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.40.2
124.5124.7
Auto17.1
Teleop54.3
End54.9
red by 7.7
118.70.5
119.1118.7
Auto12.1
Teleop51.9
End54.7
Second
112.70.2
110.9111.1
Auto12.9
Teleop58.9
End41.0
red by 12.8
5803
#24
100.00.5
100.4100.0
Auto12.2
Teleop46.6
End41.2
Third
1595
#37
105.30.2
103.4103.7
Auto13.5
Teleop44.2
End47.6
red by 11.5
4662
#26
93.80.5
94.393.8
Auto10.3
Teleop39.0
End44.5