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Red422
337939.1
586594.4
3990103.8
Blue195
543978.9
662265.6
595283.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238247150200300350400422195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.81.5
100.9102.4
Auto13.6
Teleop42.9
End47.3
red by 20.5
5952
#16
83.30.8
84.783.9
Auto6.9
Teleop43.6
End32.8
Second
94.42.2
90.292.4
Auto8.2
Teleop45.7
End40.5
red by 15.4
5439
#15
78.91.1
80.879.7
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End32.8
Third
3379
#32
39.12.1
36.338.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End19.7
blue by 26.6
6622
#10
65.61.2
67.766.4
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End30.4