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Red170
338739.2
355093.0
495047.0
Blue101
337939.1
495282.6
398562.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169150050100200250300170101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.01.2
76.475.2
Auto5.2
Teleop41.7
End46.1
red by 10.3
4952
#14
82.65.4
67.762.3
Auto10.5
Teleop33.2
End38.9
Second
4950
#35Sur
47.02.0
36.234.2
Auto6.4
Teleop25.5
End15.1
blue by 15.7
3985
#36
62.85.4
44.939.5
Auto9.3
Teleop28.0
End25.5
Third
3387
#22
39.22.0
45.343.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.4
End12.9
red by 0.1
3379
#32
39.15.4
32.126.7
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed