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Red170
29653.7
561884.1
338683.7
Blue235
262661.9
355093.0
353352.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188169100150250300350170235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5618
#18
84.11.3
65.163.8
Auto11.8
Teleop34.0
End38.3
blue by 8.9
93.04.8
75.280.0
Auto5.2
Teleop41.7
End46.1
Second
3386
#19
83.71.3
64.162.8
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End41.5
red by 21.8
2626
#25
61.98.0
40.648.6
Auto9.8
Teleop32.3
End19.8
Third
296
#46
53.70.8
47.646.8
Auto6.5
Teleop29.4
End17.9
red by 1.1
3533
#27
52.78.0
47.355.3
Auto6.0
Teleop32.7
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed