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Red170
517943.4
398142.6
599467.4
Blue215
400761.6
495282.6
585963.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169166100150200250300170215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5994
#20
67.41.4
56.555.1
Auto8.5
Teleop31.2
End27.7
blue by 15.3
4952
#14
82.66.1
62.368.4
Auto10.5
Teleop33.2
End38.9
Second
5179
#29
43.41.4
46.044.6
Auto2.3
Teleop25.4
End15.8
blue by 19.8
5859
#26
63.36.1
46.552.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.8
End24.9
Third
3981
#43
42.61.4
55.353.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End18.8
blue by 19.1
4007
#39
61.66.1
50.957.0
Auto3.7
Teleop23.1
End34.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed