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Red451
673184.5
2168127.0
78119.2
Blue235
584693.5
417685.7
662076.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652530100200300400500451235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.00.5
126.0126.5
Auto15.3
Teleop61.0
End50.7
red by 33.5
93.50.5
93.392.8
Auto6.9
Teleop42.4
End44.2
Second
78
#6
119.20.5
118.2118.7
Auto10.6
Teleop50.9
End57.7
red by 33.4
85.70.5
85.585.1
Auto15.2
Teleop44.3
End26.2
Third
6731
#37
84.50.5
83.684.1
Auto10.2
Teleop42.2
End32.1
red by 7.6
6620
#14
76.90.5
76.776.2
Auto5.6
Teleop33.9
End37.4