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Red420
511279.1
175787.7
190106.4
Blue320
12675.3
12191.7
206468.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292244100200400500420320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#17
106.40.5
105.6106.1
Auto14.8
Teleop45.4
End46.2
red by 14.7
121
#8
91.71.0
92.691.7
Auto11.7
Teleop41.7
End38.3
Second
87.70.5
86.987.4
Auto9.6
Teleop35.4
End42.7
red by 12.4
126
#15
75.31.0
76.275.3
Auto9.8
Teleop40.3
End25.2
Third
5112
#23
79.10.5
78.378.8
Auto11.3
Teleop43.7
End24.1
red by 11.0
2064
#36
68.11.0
69.068.1
Auto9.3
Teleop39.6
End19.2