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Red255
662076.9
417685.7
584693.5
Blue206
8889.1
500086.2
17683.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272267200250300350255206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.50.1
91.391.4
Auto6.9
Teleop42.4
End44.2
red by 4.4
88
#22
89.11.3
90.389.1
Auto8.8
Teleop41.1
End39.2
Second
85.70.1
83.683.7
Auto15.2
Teleop44.3
End26.2
blue by 0.5
5000
#10
86.21.3
87.586.2
Auto7.8
Teleop34.0
End44.4
Third
6620
#14
76.90.1
74.774.9
Auto5.6
Teleop33.9
End37.4
blue by 6.4
176
#28
83.31.3
84.683.3
Auto7.0
Teleop44.7
End31.6