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Red255
207965.6
417685.7
511279.1
Blue310
125100.7
2168127.0
135083.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1663670100200300400500255310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.74.7
71.776.4
Auto15.2
Teleop44.3
End26.2
blue by 41.2
127.00.8
129.8129.0
Auto15.3
Teleop61.0
End50.7
Second
5112
#23
79.14.7
67.772.4
Auto11.3
Teleop43.7
End24.1
blue by 21.6
125
#3
100.70.8
104.9104.1
Auto15.4
Teleop45.5
End39.8
Third
2079
#35
65.64.7
45.350.0
Auto5.4
Teleop25.5
End34.7
blue by 17.6
1350
#24
83.20.8
87.586.7
Auto11.5
Teleop32.7
End39.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsMissed