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Red260
226279.4
511279.1
409769.0
Blue165
415155.0
15777.1
178677.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231229150200250300260165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2262
#13
79.42.5
76.979.4
Auto10.5
Teleop33.9
End35.0
red by 1.5
1786
#12
77.93.6
80.076.3
Auto9.5
Teleop28.5
End39.8
Second
5112
#23
79.12.5
74.677.1
Auto11.3
Teleop43.7
End24.1
red by 2.0
157
#25
77.13.6
80.777.1
Auto11.3
Teleop30.0
End35.8
Third
4097
#27
69.02.5
66.569.0
Auto5.0
Teleop28.7
End35.4
red by 14.0
4151
#31
55.03.6
58.655.0
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed