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Red345
662076.9
417685.7
584693.5
Blue305
1153100.9
125100.7
110080.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283283200250300350345305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.50.2
93.593.3
Auto6.9
Teleop42.4
End44.2
blue by 7.4
100.90.5
100.4100.9
Auto11.9
Teleop44.3
End44.7
Second
85.70.2
85.885.5
Auto15.2
Teleop44.3
End26.2
blue by 14.9
125
#3
100.70.5
100.1100.7
Auto15.4
Teleop45.5
End39.8
Third
6620
#14
76.90.2
76.976.7
Auto5.6
Teleop33.9
End37.4
blue by 3.5
1100
#26
80.40.5
79.980.4
Auto10.0
Teleop38.3
End32.1