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Red494
1011107.1
292899.6
973138.1
Blue467
365119.3
246893.8
115112.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395393340360380420440460480494467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
138.10.2
137.0137.1
Auto27.8
Teleop60.8
End49.6
red by 18.8
365
#7
119.31.0
118.4119.4
Auto19.3
Teleop55.4
End44.6
Second
107.10.2
106.0106.2
Auto10.4
Teleop59.3
End37.5
blue by 5.4
115
#2
112.51.0
111.6112.6
Auto9.8
Teleop56.2
End46.5
Third
2928
#38
99.60.2
98.498.6
Auto11.1
Teleop48.7
End39.8
red by 5.7
2468
#37
93.81.0
92.993.9
Auto15.4
Teleop50.5
End27.9