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Red280
141493.0
17597.0
148283.1
Blue185
5499100.4
472370.8
1011107.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422770100200400500600280185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#21
97.03.0
87.190.1
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End46.1
blue by 10.2
107.14.9
93.188.2
Auto10.4
Teleop59.3
End37.5
Second
1414
#17
93.03.0
76.579.5
Auto11.6
Teleop47.7
End33.7
blue by 7.3
5499
#32
100.44.9
107.8102.9
Auto11.6
Teleop55.6
End33.1
Third
1482
#25
83.13.0
70.873.9
Auto5.4
Teleop34.2
End43.5
red by 12.3
4723
#39
70.84.9
57.852.9
Auto6.7
Teleop35.7
End28.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed