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Red310
580397.7
427697.4
3316104.2
Blue349
421965.1
2642111.7
5499100.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338264100200300400500600310349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#40
104.20.1
110.2110.1
Auto12.1
Teleop41.6
End50.6
blue by 7.5
111.75.9
102.2108.1
Auto13.6
Teleop60.3
End37.8
Second
5803
#57
97.70.1
102.7102.6
Auto12.4
Teleop47.7
End37.6
blue by 2.7
5499
#32
100.45.9
101.2107.0
Auto11.6
Teleop55.6
End33.1
Third
4276
#16
97.40.1
98.998.8
Auto11.0
Teleop49.8
End36.6
red by 32.4
4219
#30
65.15.9
57.663.4
Auto7.2
Teleop33.1
End24.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
15%Rotor oddsMissed15%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed