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Red215
638860.3
3158104.6
383467.1
Blue313
632589.9
580397.7
614441.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239226150200300350215313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#49
104.60.7
102.7102.0
Auto11.7
Teleop43.3
End49.5
red by 6.9
5803
#57
97.76.4
96.2102.7
Auto12.4
Teleop47.7
End37.6
Second
3834
#62
67.10.7
53.953.2
Auto11.0
Teleop33.7
End22.4
blue by 22.8
6325
#34
89.96.4
77.784.1
Auto12.3
Teleop41.5
End36.1
Third
6388
#58
60.30.7
69.068.3
Auto8.9
Teleop25.4
End26.0
red by 18.5
6144
#54
41.86.4
42.649.0
Auto6.1
Teleop26.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed