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Red145
640947.1
292899.6
406079.6
Blue262
365119.3
1339105.8
399180.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233600100300400500600145262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#38
99.65.7
101.195.4
Auto11.1
Teleop48.7
End39.8
blue by 19.7
365
#7
119.34.2
129.1124.9
Auto19.3
Teleop55.4
End44.6
Second
4060
#63
79.65.7
79.173.4
Auto6.4
Teleop35.9
End37.3
blue by 26.2
1339
#11
105.84.2
111.0106.9
Auto12.9
Teleop44.0
End49.0
Third
6409
#61
47.15.7
49.644.0
Auto5.1
Teleop32.3
End9.7
blue by 33.4
3991
#26
80.54.2
84.380.2
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed30%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed