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Red230
624111.7
5499100.4
95581.2
Blue301
1477108.6
115112.5
399180.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3283020100200400500600700800230301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#28
111.76.9
115.2108.3
Auto14.7
Teleop56.4
End40.6
blue by 0.9
115
#2
112.50.3
104.2104.5
Auto9.8
Teleop56.2
End46.5
Second
5499
#32
100.46.9
107.0100.1
Auto11.6
Teleop55.6
End33.1
blue by 8.2
1477
#10
108.60.3
106.5106.8
Auto11.3
Teleop54.1
End43.2
Third
955
#31
81.26.9
86.579.6
Auto9.1
Teleop37.6
End34.5
red by 0.7
3991
#26
80.50.3
80.280.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
23%Rotor oddsMissed23%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed