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Red322
614441.8
1574133.1
246893.8
Blue235
547281.1
44191.9
292899.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273288100150200250350400322235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.12.4
136.0138.3
Auto27.4
Teleop58.8
End46.9
red by 33.5
2928
#38
99.62.5
95.493.0
Auto11.1
Teleop48.7
End39.8
Second
2468
#37
93.82.4
85.387.7
Auto15.4
Teleop50.5
End27.9
red by 2.0
441
#59
91.92.5
94.592.0
Auto7.1
Teleop35.9
End48.8
Third
6144
#54
41.82.4
40.242.5
Auto6.1
Teleop26.1
End9.5
blue by 39.3
5472
#52
81.12.5
82.279.7
Auto9.5
Teleop38.7
End32.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
38%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed