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Red515
1011107.1
292899.6
973138.1
Blue325
3824119.9
4265105.4
8103.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381371250300350400450500550515325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
138.11.2
134.6135.9
Auto27.8
Teleop60.8
End49.6
red by 18.3
3824
#27
119.90.0
119.9119.9
Auto16.5
Teleop49.2
End54.1
Second
107.11.2
103.7104.9
Auto10.4
Teleop59.3
End37.5
red by 1.7
105.40.0
104.4104.4
Auto11.1
Teleop48.7
End45.7
Third
2928
#38
99.61.2
96.197.3
Auto11.1
Teleop48.7
End39.8
blue by 3.8
8
#36
103.40.0
102.4102.3
Auto12.2
Teleop56.7
End34.4