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Red220
497851.1
4587107.3
456107.6
Blue228
399180.5
3039105.8
222168.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832740100200400500600220228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
107.60.0
107.6107.6
Auto13.9
Teleop40.5
End53.1
red by 1.8
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
Second
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End43.0
red by 26.8
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
Third
4978
#24
51.10.0
51.151.1
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End24.4
blue by 17.5
2221
#23
68.60.0
68.668.6
Auto10.1
Teleop45.5
End13.1