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Red220
586457.7
456107.6
191274.5
Blue235
208081.7
218381.8
394626.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2621900100300400500600220235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
107.60.0
107.6107.6
Auto13.9
Teleop40.5
End53.1
red by 25.8
2183
#14
81.80.0
81.881.8
Auto8.9
Teleop42.5
End30.4
Second
74.50.0
74.574.5
Auto7.3
Teleop26.3
End40.9
blue by 7.2
2080
#12
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
Third
5864
#18
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.6
End30.3
red by 31.4
3946
#16
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End-10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds