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Red252
192737.5
586457.7
4587107.3
Blue95
375351.9
433657.8
191274.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217190010030040050025295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End43.0
red by 32.8
74.50.0
74.574.5
Auto7.3
Teleop26.3
End40.9
Second
5864
#18
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.6
End30.3
blue by 0.1
4336
#19
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.7
End24.9
Third
1927
#11
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto6.5
Teleop33.2
End-2.2
blue by 14.4
3753
#22
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto2.1
Teleop32.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
2%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds