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Red167
208081.7
4587107.3
399180.5
Blue195
420951.2
410774.0
433657.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3001760100400500600167195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End43.0
red by 33.3
74.00.0
74.074.0
Auto10.0
Teleop31.3
End32.7
Second
2080
#12
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
red by 24.0
4336
#19
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.7
End24.9
Third
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
red by 29.3
4209
#17
51.20.0
51.251.2
Auto8.0
Teleop28.2
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
2%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds