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Red155
375351.9
218381.8
497851.1
Blue305
2992102.5
3616102.5
208081.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1753210100400500600700155305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#14
81.80.0
81.881.8
Auto8.9
Teleop42.5
End30.4
blue by 20.7
102.50.0
102.5102.5
Auto8.8
Teleop53.4
End40.3
Second
3753
#22
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto2.1
Teleop32.8
End17.0
blue by 50.6
2992
#13
102.50.0
102.5102.5
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
Third
4978
#24
51.10.0
51.151.1
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End24.4
blue by 30.6
2080
#12
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds6%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds