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Red230
222168.6
586457.7
208081.7
Blue293
3039105.8
4587107.3
497851.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2082890100400500600700230293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#12
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
blue by 25.6
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End43.0
Second
2221
#23
68.60.0
68.668.6
Auto10.1
Teleop45.5
End13.1
blue by 37.1
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
Third
5864
#18
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.6
End30.3
red by 6.6
4978
#24
51.10.0
51.151.1
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds2%Pressure odds